Author Topic: Hurricane Irma  (Read 3873 times)

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Offline SandShark

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Hurricane Irma
« on: September 03, 2017, 01:16:46 pm »
I know it's to early to tell.
Haved lived in tropics all my life (Puerto Rico & Florida).

Anyone else in Florida thinking of bailing on the RWTW if the current path and trajectory does not change. Can't see leaving my house and family in those conditions.

The timing of this really stinks. Am I a bad person for think " s*** if we are going to have a hurricane why can't it be the following week").

My plans are to leave Wed. after work and ride part way up and get into Suches early on Thur. but he'll we might not even know if it's going to hit Florida till Thur.
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Offline Steve in Sunny Fla

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Re: Hurricane Irma
« Reply #1 on: September 03, 2017, 02:38:49 pm »
Sadly, you're spot on. We're really not going to know what's in store for Florida until weds / thurs . I'm carrying out plans to go to RWTW, but if it looks like it's making landfall here in Fl I will not leave my family.

  Sure, leaving is safer. But what if we go, and it hits Florida - Getting home will be a nightmare.

 Like you said, the timing stinks.

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Offline Sport Rider

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Re: Hurricane Irma
« Reply #2 on: September 05, 2017, 11:59:03 am »
I was wondering that too, since it appears it will come through by Sunday.  here's an idea though....board up the house, put the family in the car, and come ride out the storm in Suches!   :great:
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Offline worncog

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Re: Hurricane Irma
« Reply #3 on: September 05, 2017, 12:55:52 pm »
This is NOT looking good. Check this site out:

https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/
Somewhere far away. Soon
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Offline Eddie-FL

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Re: Hurricane Irma
« Reply #4 on: September 05, 2017, 01:12:59 pm »
Looks like we picked a bad time to move. Now have a house in FL AND one in SC to worry about!  Great timing, Eddie!  :-\
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Offline Daytona_Mike

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Re: Hurricane Irma
« Reply #5 on: September 05, 2017, 01:23:08 pm »
Every year I go to Nova Scotia a hurricane comes up the US coast and follows me  up to New England.   
I sure hope this does not hit Florida. This is a really bad one. I cant imagine what a Cat5 will do..
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Online kv5e

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Re: Hurricane Irma
« Reply #6 on: September 05, 2017, 02:01:54 pm »
From the NHC 1000 discussion:

4. The chance of direct impacts from Irma later this week and this
weekend is increasing in the Florida Keys and portions of the
Florida Peninsula. However, it is too soon to specify the timing
and magnitude of the impacts. Elsewhere, it is too early to
determine what direct impacts Irma might have on the continental
United States. Everyone in hurricane-prone areas should ensure that
they have their hurricane plan in place.


Official track forecast shows Irma gaining latitude on Sunday:

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/refresh/graphics_at1+shtml/120644.shtml?cone#contents

ECMWF brings Irma up through Florida and Central Georgia, GFS shows a more easterly path into South Carolina.

Be careful all......all credible models show Irma gaining latitude quickly once the mid coast of Cuba is reached.

Craig
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Offline Steve in Sunny Fla

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Re: Hurricane Irma
« Reply #7 on: September 05, 2017, 08:31:21 pm »
it's getting crazy here. all the gas pumps are loaded with vehicles. there's no bottle water to be found anywhere... and I'm north of Tampa. the evacuation path on 75 is about a mile away from me. I wouldn't go that way, but many will. I don't ever recall folks being so serious about getting ready. Looks like Andrew / Katrina / Harvey have gotten folks attention. Steve
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Offline ron203

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Re: Hurricane Irma
« Reply #8 on: September 05, 2017, 09:35:11 pm »
I worked on the Mississippi coast after Katrina for a couple of weeks, two weeks after Katrina. 34' storm surge cleared everything 5 miles from the beach to I-10. Looked like God's own weedeater at work for 100 miles along the gulf. Terrible damage to property and people. You all take care.  :'(
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Offline Zarticus

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Re: Hurricane Irma
« Reply #9 on: September 05, 2017, 10:16:36 pm »
I am almost 2 hours north of Tampa, Went & got a new battery for my generator from Rural King today. I was there Sunday for some hardware & they had pallets of water. Pallets of Batteries, Pallets of gas cans, They had around 30 generators, Ect. I joked to my wife that it will all be gone by the end of the week. There was NOTHING left today  :-\ .  They Had my Generator battery so NO pull starting for me  :) . I never need storm supplies since I keep what I may need stocked up year round   :beerchug:
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Offline Swampcat

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Re: Hurricane Irma
« Reply #10 on: September 06, 2017, 09:46:57 am »
Had to stop into the Harbor Freight on the east side of Tampa yesterday afternoon for a couple of things. No generators, only AAA and 9V batteries left. The person who checked me out had to answer two phone calls while ringing me up. Answered them saying, "Harbor Freight, we are out of generators and gas cans, how may I help you?" Those were short calls. I told her, "That's the way to get right to the point." :)

It's not just in the area, either. A friend mentioned the WaterBOB a couple of days ago, a 100-gallon bladder for the bathtub. It was going for about $25 on Amazon then (but with extended delivery times). Yesterday, only one third-party gouger was left selling them.

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Offline MotoCommuter

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Re: Hurricane Irma
« Reply #11 on: September 06, 2017, 02:42:47 pm »
Just saw a vid of both the Euro and GFS forecast models that show Irma coming up the east side of FL and coming ashore between Savannah and Charleston.

Any of you Cogger's need a place to evac to, let me know, im on the south side of ATL.
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Offline COGnosticator

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Re: Hurricane Irma
« Reply #12 on: September 06, 2017, 02:53:58 pm »
son of a bitch needs to go away.  I may have to leave from RWTW early or not even go if that is true    >:(
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Re: Hurricane Irma
« Reply #13 on: September 06, 2017, 03:01:46 pm »
Richard Branson is about to have the eyewall pass over Necker Island in the British Virgin Islands.

TJUA NEXRAD and GOES East shows it closing in where he's hunkered down in the wine cellar with about 20 of his staff.




Hope he saved the best Bordeaux for a toast during the eye! :party0036:




918 mb central pressure on the last HH pass through the eye! :-\
« Last Edit: September 06, 2017, 03:15:39 pm by kv5e »
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Re: Hurricane Irma
« Reply #14 on: September 06, 2017, 03:03:43 pm »
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/refresh/graphics_at1+shtml/145453.shtml?mltoa34#contents


This graphic may help to get some idea of the winds and time of arrival.


Craig
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Offline COGnosticator

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Re: Hurricane Irma
« Reply #15 on: September 06, 2017, 04:02:32 pm »
What I am seeing now on TV is it being at Daytona Beach Monday at 8am
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Re: Hurricane Irma
« Reply #16 on: September 06, 2017, 04:13:01 pm »


This is what the ECMWF run shows now for that timeframe.


Even a minor deviation could make a big difference so caveat emptor.
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Offline connie_rider

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Re: Hurricane Irma
« Reply #17 on: September 06, 2017, 04:23:40 pm »
This looks like a bad one.
If any of you Florida COGgers decide to go and need a place to stay, speak up!

Ride safe, Ted

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Offline Sport Rider

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Re: Hurricane Irma
« Reply #18 on: September 06, 2017, 05:18:52 pm »
got a spare room in Charlotte area.  we'll get rain, but nothing compared to you guys.
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Offline MotoCommuter

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Re: Hurricane Irma
« Reply #19 on: September 06, 2017, 05:21:00 pm »
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Re: Hurricane Irma
« Reply #20 on: September 06, 2017, 05:28:45 pm »
Sucks that this came up on RWTW weekend!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

I hope to make that next year with Pamela.

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Re: Hurricane Irma
« Reply #21 on: September 06, 2017, 05:41:29 pm »
Sucks that this came up on RWTW weekend!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

I hope to make that next year with Pamela.

Craig

Craig, were you planning on coming except for the hurricane?  cause it won't affect RWTW directly.
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Re: Hurricane Irma
« Reply #22 on: September 06, 2017, 05:46:45 pm »
Not this year, hurricane preps at work and the Arkansas "Jack's" ride the following weekend have my time taken.

Next year I will eagerly await the announcement and ink in the dates.

We're still picking up pieces in Houston with our network down there............. :(
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Offline ron203

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Re: Hurricane Irma
« Reply #24 on: September 06, 2017, 07:26:09 pm »
I'm on the north side of Atlanta. Ditto on the evac spot for you COGgers...

When this is over, we may have to have a RTS (Ride To Saw).

Y'all stay safe..

Ron
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